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What we’re going to cover
• Brief look at general CMV trends for:
– Single Aisle: A319, A320, 737-700, 737-800
– Twin Aisle: A330-200, A330-300, 767-300ER, 777-200ER, 777-
300ER
• Specific values and comments on:
– FIVE current generation, in-service aircraft types: A320,
A330-300, 737-800, 777-300ER, 777 Freighter
– FIVE new technology jetliners currently under development:
development: CS100, A320NEO, A350-900XWB, 737787-9
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$40
$30
737-700
A319
$20
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
A319 Monthly Operating Lease Rental Range ($000s)
$400
$300
$270
$200
$100
$80
$0
1 Q '0 6
3 Q '0 6
1 Q '0 7
3 Q '0 7
1 Q '0 8
3 Q '0 8
1 Q '0 9
3 Q '0 9
1 Q '1 0
3 Q '1 0
1 Q '1 1
3 Q '1 1
1 Q '1 2
3 Q '1 2
1 Q '1 3
3 Q '1 3
737-700 Monthly Operating Lease Rental Range ($000s)
$400
$300
$200
$200
$125
$100
$0
1 Q '0 6
3 Q '0 6
1 Q '0 7
3 Q '0 7
1 Q '0 8
3 Q '0 8
1 Q '0 9
3 Q '0 9 1 Q '1 0
3 Q '1 0
1 Q '1 1
3 Q '1 1
1 Q '1 2
3 Q '1 2
1 Q '1 3
3 Q '1 3
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$40
737-800
A320
$30
$20
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
A320-200 Monthly Operating Lease Rental Range ($000s)
$500
$400
$310
$300
$200
$100
$65
$0
1 Q '0 6
3 Q '0 6
1 Q '0 7
3 Q '0 7
1 Q '0 8
3 Q '0 8
1 Q '0 9
3 Q '0 9
1 Q '1 0
3 Q '1 0
1 Q '1 1
3 Q '1 1
1 Q '1 2
3 Q '1 2
1 Q '1 3
3 Q '1 3
737-800 Monthly Operating Lease Rental Range ($000s)
$500
$380
$400
$300
$200
$190
$100
$0
1 Q '0 6
3 Q '0 6
1 Q '0 7
3 Q '0 7
1 Q '0 8
3 Q '0 8
1 Q '0 9
3 Q '0 9
1 Q '1 0
3 Q '1 0
1 Q '1 1
3 Q '1 1
1 Q '1 2
3 Q '1 2
1 Q '1 3
3 Q '1 3
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$40
737-800
A320
$30
737-700
A319
$20
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$125
$110
777-200ER
$95
$80
A330-200
$65
$50
767-300ER
$35
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$125
777-300ER
$110
$95
A330-300
$80
$65
$50
$35
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
CMV Trends, Five Year Old Aircraft (then current US$ millions)
$125
777-300ER
$110
777-200ER
$95
A330-300
$80
A330-200
$65
$50
767-300ER
$35
1Q '06
1Q '07
1Q '08
1Q '09
1Q '10
1Q '11
1Q '12
1Q '13
A320-200, 2008, CFM56-5B4/3, 77T
$36
32.9
31.1
30.8
29.8
31.3
28.3
$24
30.9
30.0
27.3
27.1
24.7
25.0
18.6
16.9
16.4
15.1
$12
15.6
16.0
$0
Fred
Doug
BV Today
Eddie
Mark
CMV Today
Ken
Average
BV in 10 Yrs, 2.0% infl
A330-300, 2008, Trent 772B-60, 233T
$80
75.2
74.8
74.0
72.6
72.0
70.3
68.3
66.8
69.0
69.5
64.7
$60
$40
44.2
39.1
40.2
40.6
33.6
37.0
$20
$0
Fred
Doug
BV Today
Eddie
Mark
CMV Today
Ken
BV in 10 Yrs, 2.0% infl
Average
737-800W, 2008, CFM56-7B26/3, 172,500#
$40
34.3
34.3
32.7
34.0
32.7
32.6
31.6
32.4
33.6
33.0
32.5
$20
19.7
20.8
19.5
17.2
$0
Fred
Doug
BV Today
Eddie
18.6
15.8
Mark
CMV Today
Ken
BV in 10 Yrs, 2.0% infl
Average
777-300ER, 2008, GE90-115BL2, 760,000#
$125
117.9
114.8
106.1
115.0
107.7
112.3
110.0
103.3
$100
109.7
102.4
$75
70.6
65.5
62.0
58.3
$50
62.1
54.2
$25
$0
Fred
Doug
BV Today
Eddie
Mark
CMV Today
Ken
BV in 10 Yrs, 2.0% infl
Average
777 Freighter, Factory New, GE90 -110B1, 766,800#
193.9
$200
168.8
165.7
188.5
174.8
169.5
164.6
160.0
$150
$100
173.6
165.0
108.5
105.0
95.1
95.1
83.4
83.4
$50
$0
Fred
Doug
BV Today
Eddie
CMV Today
Mark
Ken
BV in 10 Yrs, 2.0% infl
Average
• The purchase price, in 2013 $,
that you would likely have to
pay to purchase a “reasonable”
number of aircraft, not a
launch/strategic sale, but also
not necessarily a one or two
airplane purchase.
CS100, 4Q 2013 Contract Date
39.3
$40
35.5
32.5
34.3
38.1
34.3
34.1
30.0
$30
$20
$10
$0
Fred
Doug
Eddie
BV Today
Mark
Ken
CMV Today
Average
A320NEO, 4Q2013 Contract Date
$60
56.4
45.5
46.3
49.8
54.1
46.3
48.4
44.0
47.9
$40
$20
$0
Fred
Doug
Eddie
BV Today
49.8
Mark
Ken
CMV Today
Average
A350-900XWB, 4Q2013 Contract Date
$180
151.5
157.7
154.4
130.0
136.0
Fred
Doug
141.0
130.0
140.4
$120
$60
$0
Eddie
BV Today
Mark
Ken
CMV Today
Average
737-8MAX, 4Q2013 Contract Date
$60
54.9
48.6
50.3
51.3
52.7
49.0
50.8
50.4
$40
$20
$0
Fred
Doug
51.3
Eddie
BV Today
Mark
Ken
CMV Today
Average
787-9, 4Q 2013 Contract Date
$160
153.4
130.0
132.1
132.6
150.4
130.0
135.6
135.0
$120
$80
$40
$0
Fred
Doug
Eddie
BV Today
Mark
Ken
CMV Today
Average
Aircraft Appraisers' Roundtable.pdf (PDF, 2.32 MB)
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