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Commodity Research Report 26 October 2015 Ways2Capital .pdf



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✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY

EXPIRY DATE R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

ALUMINIUM

30 OCT 2015 106. 102.65
20

99.10

97.25

95.55

93.70

92.00

88.45

84.90

COPPER

30 NOV 2015 370. 361.10
35

351.80

346

342.50

336.75

333.20

323.90

314.55

CRUDE OIL

19 NOV 2015 3222 3127

3032

2979

2937

2884

2842

2747

2652

GOLD

04DEC2015 2798 27614
20152015
3

27245

27027

26876

26658

26507

26138

25769

LEAD

30 OCT 2015 124. 120.65
15

117.15

115.35

113.65

111.85

110.20

106.70

103.15

NATURAL GAS 24 NOV 2015 179. 174.70
50

169.90

166.80

165.10

162

160.30

155.50

150.70

NICKEL

30 OCT 2015 737. 718.90
40

700.40

691.30

681.90

672.80

663.40

644.90

626.40

SILVER

04 DEC 2015 3916 38442
5

37719

37330

36996

36607

36273

35550

34827

ZINC

30 OCT 2015 124. 120.60
20

117

115.10

113.40

111.50

109.80

106.20

102.60

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

92.95

90.50

84.70

78.90

332.80 323.20

313.60

✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY

EXPIRY

R4

R3

ALUMINIUM

30 OCT 2015 113.70 107.90

102.10

98.75

96.30

COPPER

30 NOV 2015 371.15 361.55

352

346.10

342.35 336.55

19 NOV 2015 3665

3437

3209

3068

2981

2840

2753

2525

2297

GOLD

04 DEC 2015 28323 27852

27381

27095

26910

26624

26439

25968

25497

LEAD

30 OCT 2015 129.15 124.15

119.15

116.35

114.15

111.35

109.15 104.15

99.15

NATURAL GAS 24 NOV 2015 207.80 194.50

181.20

172.50

167.90 159.20

154.60 141.30

128

680.80 669.40

656.60

633

36982

36218

35454

34690

108

102.50

97.10

CRUDE OIL

NICKEL

30 OCT 2015

727.40

703.80

693

SILVER

04 DEC 2015 39274 38510

37746

37344

ZINC

751

30 OCT 2015 129.80 124..30 118.90

116

36580

113.40 110.60

609.40

WEEKLY MCX CALL
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 27100 TGT 27500 SL 26700
BUY ZINC OCT 115 TGT 117 SL 113

PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
BUY CRUDEOIL NOV ABOVE 3141 TGT 3246 SL 3044 ( NOT EXECUTED )
BUY ZINC OCT ABOVE 117.60 TGT 119.50 SL 115.40 ( NOT EXECUTED )

✍ FOREX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY

EXPIRY DATE R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

USDINR

26 NOV 2015 65.8 65.65
5

65.45

65.35

65.25

65.15

65.05

64.85

64.65

GBPINR

26 NOV 2015 74.6
0

73.90

73.20

72.80

72.50

72.10

71.80

71.10

70.50

EURINR

26 NOV 2015 102. 101.70
35

101.10

100.65

100.45

100.05

99.80

99.20

98.55

JPYINR

26 NOV 2015 55.2 54.85
5

54.45

54.25

54.10

53.85

53.70

53.35

52.95

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

✍ FOREX WEEKLY LEVELS
DAILY

EXPIRY DATE R4

R3

USDINR

26 NOV 2015 66.7 66.30
0

65.80

65.50

65.35

65.05

64.85

64.40

63.90

GBPINR

26 NOV 2015 80.7
5

78.20

75.70

74

73.15

71.50

70.60

68.05

65.50

EURINR

26 NOV 2015 104. 102.95
15

101.70

101

100.50

99.80

99.30

98.10

96.90

JPYINR

26 NOV 2015 56.9 56.05
0

55.15

54.60

54.25

53.70

53.40

52.50

51.60

WEEKLY FOREX CALL
SELL GBPINR NOV BELOW 99.90 TGT 99.20 SL 10.25

PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
BUY USDINR OCT ABOVE 65.13 TGT 65.65 SL 64.78 ( CLOSED AT 64.85 )
SELL EURINR OCT BELOW 73.20 TGT 72.70 SL 73.60 ( TGT ACHEIVED )

✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY

EXPIRY
DATE

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

SYOREFIDR

20 NOV 2015

642

640

638

636

634

632

630

628

626

SYBEANIDR

20 NOV 2015

4130

4115

4100

4085

4070

4050

4030

4010

3980

RMSEED

20 NOV 2015

5210

5180

5160

5140

5120

5100

5080

5060

5040

20 NOV 2015 16800 16700

16600

16500

16400 16200 16000 15800

15600

CHANA

20 NOV 2015

5000

4980

4960

4940

4920

4900

4880

4860

4840

CASTORSEED

20 NOV 2015

4160

4140

4120

4100

4080

4060

4040

4020

4000

JEERAUNJHA

✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY

EXPIRY
DATE

R4

R3

R2

R1

PP

S1

S2

S3

S4

SYOREFIDR

20 NOV 2015

655

650

645

640

635

630

625

620

615

SYBEANIDR

20 NOV 2015

4200

4170

4140

4110

4080

4050

4020

3990

3970

RMSEED

20 NOV 2015

5280

5250

5220

5190

5160

5130

5100

5070

5040

20 NOV 2015 17600 17400

17200

17000

16800 16600 16400 16200

16000

CHANA

20 NOV 2015

5100

5070

5040

5000

4960

4920

4870

4830

4770

CASTORSEED

20 NOV 2015

4240

4210

4180

4150

4120

4090

4060

4030

4000

JEERAUNJHA

WEEKLY NCDEX CALL
BUY SOYABEAN DEC ABOVE 4200 TGT 4350 SL 3940
PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
SELL DHANIYA NOV BELOW 11900 TGT 11710 SL 12131 ( TGT ACHEIVED )
BUY REFSOYA NOV ABOVE 630 TGT 641 SL 619 ( TGT ACHEIVED )

MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
MCX - WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW
✍ China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it
again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth
in its stuttering economy.
✍ U.S. energy firms reduced oil rigs for an eighth week in a row this week but slowed the rate
of those cuts to just one rig, data showed on Friday, a sign some drillers may soon return to the
well pad with hopes of rising crude prices in the future.

PRECIOUS METAL
✍ GOLD
Gold was flat to slightly lower on Friday as the dollar soared to its highest level in more than
two months and U.S. equities raced higher after China eased monetary policy for the sixth time
in a year, reviving expectations of a U.S. rate hike. Bullion vaulted over 1 percent higher to an
intraday high of $1,180 per ounce in early New York trading immediately after Beijing
announced a surprise interest rate cut. Investors initially bet the Federal Reserve would be
compelled to delay raising rates given the fragility of the global economy, but buying soon
evaporated on the view that the Chinese stimulus and upbeat U.S. data made a U.S. rate hike
more likely this year. Gold has languished at 5-1/2-year lows in recent months on expectations
the Fed will raise rates this year, potentially lifting the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding
bullion. Concerns over the health of the global economy have recently pushed back
expectations into 2016. But further stimulus in China and upbeat U.S. data have increased the
likelihood of a rate rise in December. Better-than-expected manufacturing figures for October
supported the dollar. U.S. flash manufacturing PMI rose to its highest level since March,
beating expectations for a slight decline from the previous month. A stronger dollar weighs on
gold by making the metal more expensive for holders of other currencies.

✍ ENERGY
Crude oil prices continued its bearish trend for the second consecutive week, where WTI
suffered more losses than Brent crude. 
As per Friday’s closing, WTI for the December month contract went down by 1.70%
registering at $44.60/ barrel, whereas Brent for the same month contract went down slightly by
just 0.20% registering at $47.99/ barrel , On weekly basis, WTI suffered losses more than
5.50%, whereas Brent crude’s losses restricted within 5%
Crude Oil fell on Friday, erasing early gains as traders dismissed a rate cut by China to focus on
a surging dollar and weaker spot prices for U.S. crude as a glut weighed on prompt supplies.
Earlier on Friday, oil prices rose about 1 percent on expectations the Chinese rate cut might

prompt the No. 1 energy consumer to import more oil. A stubborn global oil glut, partly due to
record pumping by the biggest producers in OPEC, has prevented crude prices from staging a
meaningful rebound despite a few sharp intermittent rallies since early September. U.S crude
inventories have risen for four straight weeks amid reduced refining activity during the autumn
maintenance season. U.S. oil drillers also slowed the pace of rig cuts this week, idling just one
rig, the smallest cut in eight weeks suggesting they may soon return to the well pad with hopes
of rising crude prices in the future.
Natural gas futures fell to a fresh three-year low on Friday as the market focused on warm
weather forecasts at the start of the winter heating season in November. March-April is usually
the widest month-to-month spread of the year since it marks the end of the winter heating
season and the start of spring, making it one of the most widely traded gas spreads. It is known
as the widow-maker because it can quickly turn against speculators with changing winter
forecasts. Both the U.S. and European weather models called for continued well above normal
temperatures over the next two weeks, expected to keep residential, commercial and industrial
heating demand lower than normal during that time, according to Thomson Reuters Analytics.

✍ COPPER
Copper fell on Friday, retreating from a one-week high after a strong dollar offset optimism
stemming from top metals consumer China cutting interest rates to boost its slowing economy.
Prices on the London Metal Exchange had surged after China's central bank cut interest rates
for the sixth time in less than a year and again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold
as reserves. A continued decline in LME copper stocks, which are at their lowest levels since
February, helped support prices, as did news of more production cuts. copper output further as
it posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly loss.

✍ NICKEL
Nickel too managed to stay afloat yesterday and settled at $10515 MT, up marginally by around
.8% from its previous close. The inventories dropped by 4512 MT while the canceled warrants
declined by 5232 MT, giving a mixed cue for the metal. However, the contango steadied at $27
MT, the number too high to lure the investors. As per the recent updates, Nickel pig iron
production in China continued to decline for the previous month by 2% m/m to 31,600 MT,
raising hopes for the consumption of Nickel to rise in the near term. 

✍ ZINC
LME 3M Zinc moved higher yesterday and settled at $1755 MT, up marginally by around
0.30% from its previous close. While, Lead showed weakness and settled at $1754 MT, down
by around .40% from its previous close.  In case of lead, inventories and cancelled warrants
dropped by 400 MT, giving mixed cues for the metal. The contango for the metal at LME
remained at 17, overall showing negative signs.  While in case of zinc, inventories and

canceled warrants dropped by 1875 MT, giving a mixed cue for the metal. While, the contango
for the metal remained came a bit lower at $23 MT, giving poor cues for the metal.

✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
Agri markets bounced back moderately on Tuesday after the fall seen the earlier day as good
demand amidst low stocks supported the prices even as Govt takes steps to check hoarding
amids impositions of stocks limits for Pulses and Oilseeds in states.
Govt initiatives may keep prices under check in the short term but medium term sentiments
look firm as low production and low stocks could support the prices as demand remains strong.
Spices look firm as exports slowly start picking up with low stocks reported as other counters
are expected to recover after some short term corrections.

✍ CHANA
Chana prices moved down by 2.03 per cent to Rs 4,815 per quintal in futures trade on Friday as
traders reduced exposure amid increased supplies at the spot market after the government took
steps to curb soaring prices.At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, chana for
delivery in November fell Rs 100, or 2.03 per cent, to Rs 4,815 per quintal with an open
interest of 55,180 lots.
Similarly, the commodity for delivery in December contracts eased Rs 96, or 1.93 per cent, to
Rs 4,874 per quintal in 50,410 lots.Trimming of exposure by traders triggered by pick-up in
supplies in the physical market after the raids by authorities on hoarders mainly kept pressure
on chana prices.
The government's decision to import more pulses too helped prices decline
Meanwhile, over 35,000 tonnes of pulses have been seized form 10 states in two days after
state governments intensified crackdown against hoarding and black marketing of the
commodity.

✍ REFINED SOYA OIL
Refined soya oil prices were up by 1.09 per cent to Rs 642.75 per 10 kg in futures trade on
Wednesday as speculators enlarged their bets, driven by pick up in demand in the spot
market.At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil for delivery in
November month went up by Rs 6.95, or 1.09 per cent to Rs 642.75 per 10 kg with an open
interest of 72,855 lots.
The December contract gained Rs 6.40, or 1.01 per cent, to Rs 640 per 10 kg in 1,06,005
lots.The rise in refined soya oil futures to pick up demand in the spot market amid restricted
supplies from producing regions.

✍ MUSTARDSEED
Mustardseed prices were down by Rs 88 to Rs 4,920 per quintal in future trading on monday
after traders trimmed positions, taking weak cues from spot market.At the National Commodity
and Derivatives Exchange, mustard seed for delivery in November contract fell Rs 88, or 1.76
per cent to Rs 4,920 per quintal, with an open interest of 59,300 lots.Mustardseed for delivery
in the current month lost Rs 57, or 1.16 per cent to Rs 4,851 per quintal, having an open interest
of 570 lots.Apart from pickup in arrivals from growing regions, slackened demand from oil
mills and vanaspati units at higher levels in physical markets mainly led to the fall in mustard
seed prices at futures trading.

✍ JEERA
Jeera prices closed lower by 1.54 per cent on Wednesday at the National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) on account of a surge in the supply from the
producing regions in the midst of a decline in the export demand. At the NCDEX, jeera futures
for November 2015 contract closed at Rs. 16,005 per quintal, down by 1.54 per cent, after
opening at Rs. 16,290 against the previous closing price of Rs. 16,255. It touched the intraday
low of Rs. 15,820.

LEGAL DISCLAIMER
This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market
Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained
herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the
intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities
Research opinion and is meant for general information only. Ways2Capital
Equity/Commodities Research, its directors, officers or employees shall not in any way to be
responsible for the contents stated herein. Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research
expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions
in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to
buy any securities or commodities.
All information, levels & recommendations provided above are given on the basis of technical
& fundamental research done by the panel of expert of Ways2Capital but we do not accept any
liability for errors of opinion. People surfing through the website have right to opt the product
services of their own choices.
Any investment in commodity market bears risk, company will not be liable for any loss done
on these recommendations. These levels do not necessarily indicate future price moment.
Company holds the right to alter the information without any further notice. Any browsing
through website means acceptance of disclaimer.


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