Model Specification Document .pdf

Model Specification Document

Chickens Coming Home to Roost:
Are America’s Neoliberal Economic Policies to Blame for The Rise of Donald Trump?


Variables in Trump Support Model

Education: High school graduate
Education: Some college
Education: Two-year
Education: Four-year
Education: Post-grad
Female
Age
Registered voter (0 and 1)
Voter knowledge (0 and 1; how long is a U.S. Senator’s term)
Household income
Party identification (1-7 scale, larger numbers indicate greater identification with the Democratic Party)
Political ideology (1-7 scale, larger numbers indicate a respondent is more politically liberal)
Clinton support (did the respondent prefer Clinton as the Democratic nominee)
Sanders support (did the respondent prefer Clinton as the Democratic nominee)
Racial resentment (four item scale averaged, alpha .85 )
Racial identity (How important is being (RACE) to your identity?)
Attitude towards free trade (Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose the U.S. making free trade
agreements with other countries?)
Attitude towards the economy (Would you say that as now compared to one year ago, the nation's economy is
now better, about the same, or worse?)
Perception of rising income inequality (Do you think the difference in incomes between rich people and poor
people in the United States today is larger, smaller, or about the same as it was 20 years ago?)

Only White Americans were included in this analysis























Support for Trump as the Republican Nominee