ElectionCheatsheetEST.docx .pdf

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Election 2016 Presidential Cheat Sheet
Trump needs to win 90 Electoral Votes from below (180 EVs are safe for trump)
Clinton needs to win 73 electoral votes from below (197 EVs are safe for clinton)+++

State

Electoral
Votes

RCP
Average++

538 %++

Poll
Close
(EST)

2012 Result

2012
Call
time
(EST)

Virginia

13

Clinton 5.0

Clinton 85%

7pm

Obama+3.9

12:30

New
Hampshire

4

Clinton +.6

Clinton 70%

7pm

Obama+5.6

10:26

North
Carolina

15

Trump 1.0

Clinton 56%

7:30pm

Romney
+2%

12:10

Ohio

18

Trump 3.5

Trump 63%

7:30

Obama+3

11:20

Florida

29

Trump +.2

Clinton 55%

8pm*

Obama+.9

Weds

Pennsylvania

20

Clinton 1.9

Clinton 77%

8pm

Obama+5.4

9:55

Maine CD1

3

Clinton +4.5

Clinton 83%

8pm

Obama+15

10:30

Maine CD 2

1

Clinton +4.5

Clinton 83%

8pm

Obama+8.6

10:30

Michigan

16

Clinton +3.4

Clinton 79%

8pm

Obama+9.5

9:08

Wisconsin

10

Clinton 6.5

Clinton 84%

9pm

Obama+6.9

11:47

Colorado

9

Clinton +2.9

Clinton 78%

9pm

Obama+5.4

11:46

Arizona

11

Trump +4

Trump 67%

9pm

Romney+9

10:30

Nevada**

6

Trump +1.5

Clinton 58%

10pm

Obama +6.7

11:54

Iowa

6

Trump +3

Trump 70%

10pm

Obama+5.8

11:20

* florida splits time zones, CT closing time is listed
** Clinton appears to have a solid lead in Nevada early voting
++ updated at 8 AM MT on Tuesday Nov 8th
+++ Maine CD1 and wisconsin are likely safe clinton too


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