Equityes Research The Stock Market in 2011 .pdf
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The Jacobs University
Investment Club
Equities Research: The Stock Market in 2011
Date
Bold 14pt)
20th (Arial
November
2010
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
The Catch
• S&P 500 Historical Earnings per Index Share
Market
Expectation:
All time
High
Earnings in
2011
Expected Earnings 2011
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Negative credit flow rate implies subdued economic
growth with elevated recessionary risk
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
ï‚¢ Bremer
ï‚¢ The
ï‚¢1
Bankenverband & Neelmeyer
Outlook for the Stock Market in 2011
February 2011
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Idea
ï‚¢ Growth
in United States and Europe remains
sluggish with significant macroeconomic
headwinds ahead
ï‚¢ S&P 500 expected 2011 earnings at all time
high. The only way this number can be
reached is from the direction of emerging
markets.
ï‚¢ Analysis of sales structure of S&P 500
companies
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Process
ï‚¢
For each sector of the S&P 5001 besides financials find
earnings for each company from Google finance3
ï‚¢
Find a proper distribution of 10% of companies in each
sector according to earnings ( Technique to be discussed )
For each selected company (total of 50 across 9 sectors)
take yearly results and extract distribution of sales between
emerging and developed markets from website
ï‚¢
1. http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp-500/en/us/?indexId=spusa-500-usduf--p-us-l-2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_S%26P_500_companies
3. http://finance.google.com
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Example:
ï‚¢
Procter and Gamble website
Yearly Results
Investor Relations
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Process2:
ï‚¢
Create a table for each company with sales in emerging/non
emerging markets, than if possible going deeper into
geographical area ( North America, Africa, etc) as well as
previous growth of sales in market/ region
Theme of presentation
Equities
Research
Name of department
Date
The Stock Market in 2011
Process3:
ï‚¢
The third stage implies getting data from the IMF of the GDP
growth of regions and nations
Let us get there, that is the easy bit.
Thank You!
The Jacobs University Investment Club
Cristian Nucu Mesaros
Isabella Schwyzer
President
Senior Vice President
Macroeconomics and finance
Social Psychology and Collective Behaviour
c.mesaros@jacobs-university.de
i.schwyzer@jacobs-university.de
Mircea Petrescu
Radu Frunza
Vice President
Vice President
Life Science Growth Opportunities
Mathematical Modeling for Finance
m.petrescu@jacobs-university.de
r.frunza@jacobs-university.de
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