2016 HLB Previews Irish Dawgs (PDF)

Irish Dawgs
Lineup:
Slot
C
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
MI
CI
OF
OF
OF
OF
OF
UTIL

Player
Stephen Vogt
Salvador Perez
Freddie Freeman
Neil Walker
Josh Donaldson
Ian Desmond
Logan Forsythe
David Wright
Andrew McCutchen
Matt Kemp
Jacoby Ellsbury
Gregory Polanco
Ender Inciarte
Evan Gattis
Averages

Disappear

Career Arc
Age
31
25
26
30
30
30
29
33
29
31
32
24
24
29

R
48
62
76
72
112
72
70
65
93
80
91
84
75
72

HR
14
19
21
23
37
20
17
11
25
22
12
11
5
30

RBI
64
72
83
78
102
64
77
43
100
86
45
63
46
90

SB
0
1
3
3
6
17
9
9
17
10
34
29
30
0

OBP
0.333
0.297
0.386
0.340
0.361
0.305
0.340
0.350
0.406
0.325
0.327
0.324
0.325
0.295

SLG 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
0.426
32
33
34
35
36
0.431
26
27
28
29
30
0.472
27
28
29
30
31
0.474
31
32
33
34
35
0.523
31
32
33
34
35
0.413
31
32
33
34
35
0.418
30
31
32
33
34
0.420
34
35
36
37
38
0.519
30
31
32
33
34
0.456
32
33
34
35
36
0.387
33
34
35
36
37
0.391
25
26
27
28
29
0.370
25
26
27
28
29
0.480
30
31
32
33
34

28.8

76.6

19.1

72.4

12.0

0.337

0.441

Player
Age
Adam Wainwright
34
Garrett Richards
27
Jordan Zimmermann 29
Masahiro Tanaka
27
Alex Wood
25
Phil Hughes
29
Henry Owens
23
Mark Melancon
31
Huston Street
32
Averages 28.6

QS
20
21
19
17
19
17
10
0
0

Pitchers:
Slot
SP
SP
SP
SP
SP
SP
SP
RP
RP

Degrade

Graduated Prospect

Destroy

Debut

2015 Record: 4-16-1 (8th)

Develop

Owner: Ron Fleming

Career Arc

13.7

W Saves
13
0
15
0
15
0
11
0
12
0
11
0
6
0
3
42
3
40
9.9

9.1

ERA WHIP
3.13 1.16
3.32 1.23
3.57 1.16
3.65 1.12
3.56 1.27
3.9 1.17
4.23 1.35
2.52 1.01
3.00 1.20

K/9 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
6.58
35
36
37
38
39
8.07
28
29
30
31
32
7.26
30
31
32
33
34
8.45
28
29
30
31
32
7.08
26
27
28
29
30
6.55
30
31
32
33
34
8.15
24
25
26
27
28
8.04
32
33
34
35
36
7.95
33
34
35
36
37

3.43

7.57

1.19

Bench Bats
R

HR

RBI

SB

OBP

SLG

Elig

Player

Age

Upside Narrative:
Had great start to '15, is nice
0.412
10/10+ player at MI

SS

Marcus Semien

25

71

16

50

12 0.321

OF

Nick Markakis

32

70

6

51

2 0.352

0.366 At least he gets on base?

DH

Victor Martinez

37

60

16

82

1 0.341

0.434

2B

Jose Peraza

21

48

2

38

30 0.300

3B

Hector Olivera

30

47

11

52

0 0.295

2016 Rookie/FA Draft Selections:
1.1 SS Dansby Swanson
2.1 C Stephen Vogt
3.1 C Willson Contreras
4.1 SP Aaron Blair *Worst Pick*
5.1 SP Jose De Leon *Best Pick*
6.1 2B Logan Forsythe
7.1 OF Brett Phillips
The Irish Dawgs had a very difficult first season as a result of many
things not going quite as planned. Ian Desmond went from perennial
stud to very questionable start. Adam Wainwright made 4 starts all
year. Robinson Cano forgot how to hit in the first half. Pair some
additional player synopsis with a similar story line and a complete lack
of any 2015 upside plays turning up roses, and you have an 8th place
season.

2016 currently projects to be another trying year in the Win/Loss
column for the Dawgs with near bottom ranks for both their offensive
attack and their pitching staff.
All is not lost for the elder statesman of the league as there still is a
respectable young core of talent here waiting to be built around
(Freeman, Polanco, Perez, Cutch). The even better news is that Ron
committed to the rebuild in the draft, taking high upside young player
one after another speckling in a couple of valuable veterans for the
near term.
As a result, Ron now boasts arguably the deepest prospect pipeline of
any team in the league including players that are both close to the
majors and high potential impact (Glasnow, Bell, Swanson). Glasnow,
in particular, is the crown jewel of the system to me as I see him
becoming the next great young pitcher with dominant stuff and
resulting fantasy relevance.
I think that the 2016 goal should be a year of additional turnover for
the roster, infusing more upside, shedding age (VMart, Wainwright)
and low impact veterans (Markakis, Hughes). Grabbing some of the
hotter non-contract players and flipping them at the deadline for
future assets should also be a focus.
In summary, ID fans should be rooting for a good development year
for the in-house prospects leading to a 2017 draft class laden with
more impact talent. If that sequence can come together, I think you
could start to see the light at the end of the tunnel towards
competing for a playoff spot.

Steady bat that can pitch in when
needed
Hit tool could develop to match
0.349
with speed
Somewhat of an unknown and
0.385
hitting well this spring

Bench Arms
RP

Team Overview:

Projected Categorical Ranks

Player

Age

Drew Storen

28

QS

W
0

SV
4

21

ERA
3.32

WHIP
1.14

K/9

Upside Narrative:
All the numbers of a good fantasy
9.97
closer without buzz

Hitting
8th overall
Pitching

Hitting Prospect Pipeline
Pos.
SS
OF
C
OF
1B
2B
OF

Player
Dansby Swanson
Austin Meadows
Willson Contreras
Brett Phillips
Josh Bell
Daniel Robertson
Alex Jackson

Rank

13
16
27
46
56
85
95

R

Player
Tyler Glasnow
Robert Stephenson
Aaron Blair
Jose De Leon

Rank

6
31
39
60

HR

Age
22
23
23
23

QS

Elite

Above Avg
RBI

SB

OBP

SLG

Lvl
AAA
AA
AA
AAA
AA
A

ETA
2017
2017
2017
2017
2016
2017
2019

Lvl
AAA
AAA
AAA
AA

ETA
2016
2016
2016
2017

Projected Category Contribution
W

SV

ERA

HR

RBI

SB

OBP

SLG

7

7

8

4

6

7

QS

W

Saves

ERA

WHIP

K/9

8

7

2.5

8

7

8

Average Age by Role and Year

Projected Category Contribution
Age
22
20
23
21
23
22
20

Pitching Prospect Pipeline
Pos.
SP
SP
SP
RP

Average

Drag

8th overall

R

WHIP

K/9

30
Projected Categorical Performance
29
Elite (top 2)
0
28.8
28
28.6
Good (3rd or 4th)
2 SB, SV
27
26.9
26
26.6
Weak (5th or 6th)
1 OBP
25.9
25.9
25
Bad (bottom
2)
9
R,
HR,
RBI,
SLG,
QS,
W,
ERA,
WHIP,
K/9
25.2
24
24.4
2015 2016 16 Avg
23
Bench
25.18 24.41 24.83
22
Rotation Bench
25.89 28.56 Lineup
27.85
Rotation
Team

Lineup
Team
Team Age Distribution
Age Ranges
Babies (18-22)
Kids (23-26)
Prime (27-31)
Downside (32-35)
Last Gasp (36+)

26.64 28.79 28.04
2016
16 Avg
25.85 26.88 26.63

2015

Hitters PitchersBench
0
0
7
4
2
6
8
5
2
2
2
1
0
0
1

7
12
15
5
1